NOAA / Space Weather Prediction Center
These plots show the annual trend, from 1986 to 2013, of various verification metrics for M flare forecasts with lead times of one to three days. The top panel plots the number of days on which an M flare occurred during the year (event climatology), the second panel plots the mean value of the forecasts associated with days on which an M flare occurred, the third panel plots the mean value of the forecasts associated with days on which an M flare did not occur, and the bottom panel displays annual SWPC forecast skill relative to sample climatology forecasts (prediction efficiency).
Visually impaired users may contact SWPC for assistance.
Space Weather Topics:
Alerts / Warnings, Space Weather Now, Today's Space Wx, Data and Products, About Us ,
Email Products, Space Wx Workshop , Education/Outreach, Disclaimer, Customer Services, Contact Us