# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center.
# Please send comments and suggestions to sec@sec.noaa.gov
#
#                      Annual Verification Statistics for K6 Short-Term Warnings
#
# Missing data: -99999
#


Year                        2006
Hits                        14
Misses                      6
False Alarms                0
Correct Rejections          2900
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.70
False Alarm Ratio           0
Success Ratio               1.00
Critical Success Index      0.70
Bias                        0.70
Gilbert Score               0.70
Heidke Skill Score          0.82
True Skill Statistic        0.70

Year                        2005
Hits                        28
Misses                      13
False Alarms                10
Correct Rejections          2869
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.68
False Alarm Ratio           0.26
Success Ratio               0.74
Critical Success Index      0.55
Bias                        0.93
Gilbert Score               0.54
Heidke Skill Score          0.71
True Skill Statistic        0.68

Year                        2004
Hits                        33  
Misses                      5    
False Alarms                8    
Correct Rejections          2882
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.87
False Alarm Ratio           0.20
Success Ratio               0.81
Critical Success Index      0.72
Bias                        1.08
Gilbert Score               0.71
Heidke Skill Score          0.83
True Skill Statistic        0.87

Year                        2003
Hits                        39  
Misses                      19  
False Alarms                14  
Correct Rejections          2848
Climatology                 0.02
Probability of Detection    0.67
False Alarm Ratio           0.26
Success Ratio               0.74
Critical Success Index      0.54
Bias                        0.91
Gilbert Score               0.54
Heidke Skill Score          0.70
True Skill Statistic        0.67

Year                        2002
Hits                        10  
Misses                      15  
False Alarms                3   
Correct Rejections          2900
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.40
False Alarm Ratio           0.23
Success Ratio               0.77
Critical Success Index      0.36
Bias                        0.52
Gilbert Score               0.36
Heidke Skill Score          0.52
True Skill Statistic        0.40

Year                        2001
Hits                        14   
Misses                      3    
False Alarms                6   
Correct Rejections          2897
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.82
False Alarm Ratio           0.30
Success Ratio               0.70
Critical Success Index      0.61
Bias                        1.18
Gilbert Score               0.61
Heidke Skill Score          0.76
True Skill Statistic        0.82

Year                        2000
Hits                        13  
Misses                      10  
False Alarms                6   
Correct Rejections          2899
Climatology                 0.01
Probability of Detection    0.57
False Alarm Ratio           0.32
Success Ratio               0.68
Critical Success Index      0.45
Bias                        0.83
Gilbert Score               0.45
Heidke Skill Score          0.62
True Skill Statistic        0.56

Year                        1999
Hits                        6   
Misses                      6   
False Alarms                0   
Correct Rejections          2908
Climatology                 0.00
Probability of Detection    0.50
False Alarm Ratio           0.00
Success Ratio               1.00
Critical Success Index      0.50
Bias                        0.50
Gilbert Score               0.50
Heidke Skill Score          0.67
True Skill Statistic        0.50