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Forecast Verification
Introduction
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Short-term warnings and forecasts of geophysical activity
are some of the services provided by the SWPC Space Weather Forecast
Office. Effective use of these warnings and forecasts requires knowledge
of their capability and limitations. Verification statistics and
other quality information for these products can be found through
these web pages. The majority of the forecasts in the SWPC primary
daily forecast product–the Joint
USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity (SDF)–are
covered, as well as the SWPC geomagnetic K5 and K6 short-term warnings
and short-term warnings of 10 MeV proton events. Also found here
are a glossary of verification terms, including formula for the
various metrics, and a verification bibliography that includes links
to several PDF files of verification related papers.
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Short Term Warnings
Solar Flare Forecasts
Solar Flux and Particle Event Forecasts
Geomagnetic Activity Forecasts
Verification Resources
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