Short-term warnings and forecasts
of geophysical activity are some of the services provided by the
SWPC Space Weather Forecast Office. Effective use of these warnings
and forecasts requires knowledge of their capability and limitations.
Verification statistics and other forecast quality information for
these products can be found through the links on this web page.
The forecasts in the SWPC primary daily forecast product–the
USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity (SDF)–are
covered, as well as SWPC short-term warnings of geomagnetic K5 and
K6 storms, and 10 MeV proton events. Also found here are a glossary
of verification terms, including formulas for the various metrics,
and a verification bibliography with links to several PDF files
of verification related papers.
Short Term Warnings
Solar Flare Forecasts
Solar Flux and Particle Event Forecasts
Geomagnetic Activity Forecasts