:Product: 1010RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 10 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 283 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during days 1 - 2 (11 -
12 October) due to weak recurrent coronal hole effects. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet levels on day 3 (13 October) as
coronal hole effects subside.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Oct-13 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Oct 070
Predicted   11 Oct-13 Oct  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        10 Oct 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Oct  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Oct  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Oct-13 Oct  007/007-007/007-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Oct-13 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01