:Product: 1024RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 24 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 297 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
Region 1029 (N14W01) is now a 13-spot bipolar sunspot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. One period of unsettled
conditions was observed between 1800 - 2100Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (25 October) in
response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet
conditions are expected on days two and three (26 - 27 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Oct 076
Predicted   25 Oct-27 Oct  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        24 Oct 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Oct  007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Oct  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Oct-27 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01