:Product: 1104RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 04 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No spotted regions appear
on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled on day 1 (5 November) due to possible
effects from the CME of 31 October. Quiet conditions will return on
day 2 and 3 (6-7November).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Nov 071
Predicted   05 Nov-07 Nov  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        04 Nov 071
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov  001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov  008/008-005/005-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/10/20
Minor storm           20/01/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01