:Product: 1105RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 05 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1030 (N25E04) was
numbered today as a Cro beta sunspot group with 5 spots. No flares
were observed during the past 24-hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (06-07 November). Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on day three (08 November) as a
weak recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream moves into a
geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Nov 071
Predicted   06 Nov-08 Nov  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        05 Nov 071
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Nov  001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Nov  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov  005/006-005/005-006/006
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01