:Product: 0101RSGA.txt :Issued: 2008 Jan 01 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 001 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jan 2008 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S07E69) produced a C1/Sf flare at 01/1537Z. As the region rotates onto the east limb, its initial classification is a simple Axx alpha group. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 980. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet for the forecast period. III. Event Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan Class M 15/15/15 Class X 05/05/05 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Jan 079 Predicted 02 Jan-04 Jan 082/085/087 90 Day Mean 01 Jan 072 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 31 Dec 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jan 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jan-04 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01