:Product: 0111RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jan 11 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 011 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jan 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV proton flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions on 12-13
January due to a recurrent coronal hole.  Conditions are expected to
be predominately unsettled for 14 January.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Jan-14 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Jan 076
Predicted   12 Jan-14 Jan  075/070/070
90 Day Mean        11 Jan 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jan  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jan  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan  012/015-012/015-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jan-14 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           15/15/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/20
Minor storm           20/20/15
Major-severe storm    10/01/05