:Product: 0209RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Feb 09 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 040 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Feb 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1(10 February). Activity is
expected to increase to unsettled to active on day 2 (11 February)
due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled on day 3 (12 February).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Feb 072
Predicted   10 Feb-12 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        09 Feb 074
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Feb  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Feb  005/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb  005/012-015/015-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/40/25
Minor storm           01/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/45/30
Minor storm           01/15/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01