:Product: 0302RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Mar 02 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The solar disk is spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed showed a steady downward trend from about
750-800 km/s at the start of the period down to about 600 km/s at
forecast issue time. The greater the 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Mar 069
Predicted   03 Mar-05 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        02 Mar 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar  013/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Mar  008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01