NOAA / Space Weather Prediction Center
Presented by the USAF and NOAA/ Space Weather Prediction Center
The impact of high-energy (relativistic) electrons on orbiting
satellites can cause electric discharges across internal satellite components,
which in turn leads to spacecraft upsets and/or complete satellite failures.
The Relativistic Electron Forecast Model predicts the occurrence of these electrons
in geosynchronous orbit.
Plots and data are updated daily at 0010 UT. Dashed vertical lines indicate the last vertical value.
When the input parameters are not available, the forecast is not shown.
REFM Verification Plot and Model Documentation
1 to 3 Day Predictions (text file) and corresponding Performance Statistics.
Predictions created using data from the ACE spacecraft.
September 9, 2010 -- The observed electron values for the Relativistic Electron Forecast Model are now plotted for the GOES-13 satellite. GOES-13 is designated as GOES-East, located at 105 degrees W longitude, is in the best position for observing relativistic electrons. Previously, GOES-11 electron data was used, but since that is now in the designated West location, it is no longer the best option for providing the necessary data.
Historical electron particle data is archived at the
National Geophysical Data Center for Solar-Terrestrial Physics.
Visually impaired users may contact SWPC for assistance.
Please credit SWPC when using these images.
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