:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2009 Nov 08 0012 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2009 09 09 2.7e+05 300 1.3e+05 1.0e+05 6.1e+04 2009 09 10 2.3e+05 304 1.8e+05 6.7e+04 5.2e+04 2009 09 11 1.3e+05 301 7.2e+04 4.2e+04 3.5e+04 2009 09 12 1.5e+05 304 1.2e+05 4.3e+04 4.4e+04 2009 09 13 9.1e+04 307 8.3e+04 4.6e+04 6.6e+04 2009 09 14 5.1e+04 392 1.1e+05 1.9e+05 4.3e+05 2009 09 15 6.0e+04 427 1.5e+05 5.4e+05 9.7e+05 2009 09 16 8.1e+04 455 2.1e+05 1.1e+06 1.6e+06 2009 09 17 6.1e+04 444 8.5e+04 9.8e+05 9.0e+05 2009 09 18 6.8e+04 413 6.9e+04 5.6e+05 5.7e+05 2009 09 19 8.1e+04 357 4.4e+04 2.5e+05 1.8e+05 2009 09 20 1.0e+05 328 7.0e+04 1.2e+05 9.4e+04 2009 09 21 4.7e+04 423 6.7e+04 2.8e+05 2.5e+05 2009 09 22 4.1e+04 410 4.1e+04 1.9e+05 1.4e+05 2009 09 23 4.8e+04 386 4.3e+04 1.3e+05 1.2e+05 2009 09 24 5.1e+04 319 2.7e+04 5.0e+04 4.1e+04 2009 09 25 4.5e+04 284 2.4e+04 2.3e+04 2.9e+04 2009 09 26 5.2e+04 302 3.4e+04 2.6e+04 3.0e+04 2009 09 27 3.6e+04 330 4.3e+04 3.4e+04 3.8e+04 2009 09 28 5.2e+04 329 5.5e+04 3.1e+04 3.3e+04 2009 09 29 7.5e+04 318 6.8e+04 2.7e+04 4.1e+04 2009 09 30 7.3e+04 348 9.0e+04 5.3e+04 7.4e+04 2009 10 01 3.9e+04 353 5.6e+04 5.6e+04 5.7e+04 2009 10 02 4.8e+04 347 5.6e+04 4.5e+04 4.3e+04 2009 10 03 5.4e+04 324 4.4e+04 3.0e+04 2.2e+04 2009 10 04 5.2e+04 365 7.0e+04 4.5e+04 3.6e+04 2009 10 05 4.3e+04 386 5.3e+04 4.9e+04 3.9e+04 2009 10 06 5.7e+04 345 4.3e+04 2.9e+04 1.9e+04 2009 10 07 4.2e+04 294 2.4e+04 1.5e+04 1.0e+04 2009 10 08 3.9e+04 279 2.2e+04 9.9e+03 8.4e+03 2009 10 09 3.7e+04 307 3.3e+04 1.5e+04 1.8e+04 2009 10 10 4.6e+04 263 2.4e+04 8.6e+03 1.1e+04 2009 10 11 5.1e+04 387 1.9e+05 6.8e+04 1.3e+05 2009 10 12 4.2e+04 382 6.1e+04 6.9e+04 7.4e+04 2009 10 13 4.0e+04 357 5.1e+04 6.0e+04 6.4e+04 2009 10 14 3.8e+04 339 3.3e+04 5.4e+04 4.1e+04 2009 10 15 4.3e+04 373 6.3e+04 8.2e+04 8.7e+04 2009 10 16 4.4e+04 400 5.7e+04 1.5e+05 1.6e+05 2009 10 17 3.2e+04 326 2.3e+04 5.8e+04 4.7e+04 2009 10 18 4.7e+04 305 3.3e+04 3.5e+04 3.2e+04 2009 10 19 4.7e+04 301 2.8e+04 2.1e+04 1.9e+04 2009 10 20 3.7e+04 303 3.4e+04 2.2e+04 2.1e+04 2009 10 21 4.1e+04 283 2.9e+04 1.5e+04 9.3e+03 2009 10 22 3.8e+04 346 7.0e+04 3.0e+04 2.9e+04 2009 10 23 4.7e+04 388 6.3e+04 5.5e+04 5.5e+04 2009 10 24 2.2e+05 390 3.8e+05 9.1e+04 7.8e+04 2009 10 25 2.0e+06 424 5.3e+06 2.2e+05 2.0e+05 2009 10 26 3.5e+06 405 3.9e+06 2.0e+05 1.5e+05 2009 10 27 3.9e+06 376 3.5e+06 2.1e+05 1.9e+05 2009 10 28 4.1e+06 361 3.0e+06 2.1e+05 1.6e+05 2009 10 29 5.5e+06 366 6.2e+06 2.4e+05 2.3e+05 2009 10 30 1.1e+06 369 8.8e+05 2.4e+05 2.7e+05 2009 10 31 1.4e+06 330 9.2e+05 1.7e+05 1.3e+05 2009 11 01 2.0e+06 344 2.2e+06 1.8e+05 1.3e+05 2009 11 02 1.2e+06 335 8.7e+05 1.2e+05 7.5e+04 2009 11 03 5.7e+05 367 6.7e+05 2.5e+05 2.5e+05 2009 11 04 1.0e+06 290 4.2e+05 9.6e+04 5.7e+04 2009 11 05 1.1e+06 296 9.5e+05 1.0e+05 1.6e+05 2009 11 06 8.7e+05 286 3.6e+05 9.5e+04 1.1e+05 2009 11 07 1.1e+06 265 8.7e+05 9.3e+04 1.4e+05