:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2010 Mar 21 0012 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2010 01 20 6.1e+04 386 9.4e+04 1.6e+05 2.7e+05 2010 01 21 5.6e+04 461 1.2e+05 5.7e+05 5.8e+05 2010 01 22 7.4e+04 409 1.0e+05 2.8e+05 2.4e+05 2010 01 23 5.5e+05 355 3.0e+05 1.4e+05 1.1e+05 2010 01 24 5.7e+05 361 5.1e+05 1.5e+05 1.2e+05 2010 01 25 2.1e+06 372 2.0e+06 1.5e+05 1.5e+05 2010 01 26 2.1e+06 367 1.7e+06 1.6e+05 1.4e+05 2010 01 27 2.3e+06 345 2.0e+06 1.2e+05 1.1e+05 2010 01 28 9.0e+05 353 7.3e+05 1.2e+05 1.2e+05 2010 01 29 4.9e+05 345 4.4e+05 1.2e+05 1.2e+05 2010 01 30 2.3e+05 367 2.9e+05 1.7e+05 2.0e+05 2010 01 31 1.5e+05 412 2.5e+05 3.4e+05 3.3e+05 2010 02 01 2.7e+05 430 4.8e+05 4.6e+05 4.4e+05 2010 02 02 1.5e+06 476 2.9e+06 1.1e+06 9.7e+05 2010 02 03 1.0e+07 524 2.9e+07 3.8e+06 2.8e+06 2010 02 04 2.5e+07 428 1.6e+07 1.3e+06 8.9e+05 2010 02 05 2.2e+07 365 7.6e+06 7.4e+05 8.5e+05 2010 02 06 8.5e+06 364 4.8e+06 8.9e+05 1.4e+06 2010 02 07 1.2e+06 375 1.0e+06 1.0e+06 1.8e+06 2010 02 08 1.3e+06 356 9.1e+05 7.9e+05 1.5e+06 2010 02 09 8.5e+05 336 6.1e+05 5.9e+05 8.7e+05 2010 02 10 7.0e+05 315 4.7e+05 3.6e+05 4.1e+05 2010 02 11 9.1e+05 347 9.5e+05 5.0e+05 6.3e+05 2010 02 12 2.4e+05 344 2.3e+05 4.5e+05 4.2e+05 2010 02 13 3.2e+05 323 2.5e+05 3.4e+05 3.6e+05 2010 02 14 3.8e+05 310 2.8e+05 2.4e+05 3.9e+05 2010 02 15 8.5e+04 307 5.8e+04 2.0e+05 3.8e+05 2010 02 16 1.2e+05 328 1.5e+05 2.9e+05 4.3e+05 2010 02 17 4.6e+05 356 8.0e+05 4.3e+05 6.1e+05 2010 02 18 7.2e+05 419 1.8e+06 1.4e+06 1.6e+06 2010 02 19 1.4e+06 468 4.7e+06 4.2e+06 3.7e+06 2010 02 20 1.9e+06 418 2.0e+06 2.3e+06 1.6e+06 2010 02 21 1.8e+06 368 1.0e+06 1.1e+06 8.0e+05 2010 02 22 1.1e+06 361 6.9e+05 8.1e+05 7.2e+05 2010 02 23 7.2e+05 358 5.1e+05 6.4e+05 4.8e+05 2010 02 24 7.6e+05 358 6.7e+05 4.8e+05 3.9e+05 2010 02 25 1.1e+06 363 8.4e+05 4.3e+05 5.0e+05 2010 02 26 4.9e+05 375 4.9e+05 6.4e+05 8.5e+05 2010 02 27 6.9e+05 317 4.4e+05 3.1e+05 4.1e+05 2010 02 28 6.1e+05 332 5.5e+05 3.8e+05 6.0e+05 2010 03 01 2.9e+05 359 3.7e+05 5.7e+05 6.0e+05 2010 03 02 8.3e+04 386 1.3e+05 7.3e+05 8.5e+05 2010 03 03 1.1e+05 419 1.7e+05 1.3e+06 1.1e+06 2010 03 04 1.2e+05 432 2.1e+05 1.6e+06 1.3e+06 2010 03 05 9.6e+04 413 9.2e+04 1.1e+06 8.7e+05 2010 03 06 2.6e+05 370 1.9e+05 6.0e+05 4.4e+05 2010 03 07 1.0e+05 402 1.3e+05 9.0e+05 6.9e+05 2010 03 08 8.1e+04 342 4.8e+04 2.5e+05 1.6e+05 2010 03 09 1.2e+05 375 1.2e+05 3.5e+05 3.8e+05 2010 03 10 8.4e+04 408 1.0e+05 4.7e+05 3.6e+05 2010 03 11 5.7e+06 474 1.8e+07 1.3e+06 1.0e+06 2010 03 12 5.2e+07 520 1.7e+08 3.5e+06 2.2e+06 2010 03 13 1.6e+08 429 1.0e+08 1.2e+06 6.6e+05 2010 03 14 1.6e+08 421 1.2e+08 1.7e+06 1.4e+06 2010 03 15 1.5e+08 362 5.2e+07 7.0e+05 7.2e+05 2010 03 16 3.7e+07 387 3.2e+07 1.3e+06 2.1e+06 2010 03 17 1.7e+07 470 4.3e+07 5.4e+06 5.9e+06 2010 03 18 2.4e+06 421 2.7e+06 2.2e+06 1.9e+06 2010 03 19 1.9e+06 381 1.1e+06 1.1e+06 9.1e+05 2010 03 20 2.6e+06 412 3.2e+06 1.8e+06 1.7e+06