:Data_list: stats.txt :Created: 2012 May 21 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 5/21/2011 - 5/20/2012 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 1 0.69 0.17 0.79 0.61 0.21 0.78 + 2 0.39 0.18 0.51 0.03 0.06 0.44 + 3 0.28 0.31 0.44 -0.14 0.34 0.34