:Data_list: stats.txt :Created: 2008 Jul 25 0010 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SEC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 7/25/2007 - 7/24/2008 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 1 0.61 0.26 0.38 0.63 0.21 0.47 + 2 -0.55 -0.55 -1.53 -0.19 -0.15 -0.68 + 3 -0.70 -0.28 -1.68 -0.43 -0.10 -1.02