:Data_list: ws_stats.txt :Created: 2008 Jul 07 0010 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SEC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # and solar wind speed predictions from the Wang Sheeley model # (WS mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 7/7/2007 - 7/6/2008 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 2 -0.81 -0.84 -1.83 -0.13 0.30 0.28 + 3 -1.65 -1.08 -3.27 -1.75 -0.07 -0.38 + 4 -2.58 -1.41 -4.86 -1.68 -0.20 -0.34 + 5 -3.20 -1.61 -5.74 -1.13 -0.17 -0.10 + 6 -3.55 -1.72 -6.32 -1.63 -0.06 -0.56 + 7 -3.70 -1.56 -6.22 -2.46 -0.16 -0.61 + 8 -3.51 -1.33 -5.69 -3.74 -1.04 -0.58